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8 hits

OrganisationConfirmed

DSTG

Defence Science and Technology Group · Bayesian path analysis

Produced the posterior along the 7th arc used to site the official underwater box.

DocumentOfficial finding1 Dec 2016 00:00 UTC

DSTG Bayesian flight-path analysis

Defence Science and Technology Group, Australia

A probabilistic reconstruction of MH370’s path from SATCOM metadata. Output is a distribution along the 7th arc, not a pin in the map.

TimelineConfirmed1 Oct 2014 00:00 UTC

Bathymetry and underwater search begin

October 2014

Fugro vessels and partners begin wide-area bathymetric mapping and towed-sonar search of a defined 7th-arc corridor.

EvidenceOfficial finding15 Mar 2014 00:00 UTC

BTO range rings and BFO Doppler residuals

Inmarsat / Ashton et al. · Journal of Navigation

Burst Timing Offset describes distance from the satellite (an arc on the Earth). Burst Frequency Offset encodes relative motion and is why official analysis went south, not north.

HypothesisOfficial finding

Fuel exhaustion, then uncontrolled descent at the 7th arc

Prevailing official end-of-flight model

After a long southern cruise the aircraft flames out near 00:19 UTC, the SDU logs on from APU/emergency power, and the aeroplane leaves controlled flight. Wreckage should lie on or near the 7th arc.

TimelineConfirmed7 Mar 2014 21:41 UTC

Handshake 4

21:41:24 UTC

Fourth SATCOM handshake, still on the southern corridor in BFO reconstructions.

DocumentOfficial finding3 Oct 2017 00:00 UTC

The Operational Search for MH370

ATSB AE-2014-054 · final search report 2017

Australia’s account of how the southern Indian Ocean search box was drawn, refined, and exhausted over 120,000 km². Primary technical home of the 7th-arc argument used in the field.

DocumentOfficial finding7 Oct 2014 00:00 UTC

The Search for MH370 — Journal of Navigation

Ashton, Dickinson, Hall, Roberts, Smith · Inmarsat · 2014/15

The paper that showed how BTO and BFO from routine signalling units can reconstruct a long flight the airline did not know it still had.

273 records in the file.