Theories
International politics
China, Russia, Iran
Proposition
State action or interstate politics — Chinese, Russian, or Iranian — caused or concealed the loss of MH370.
20%
Less than 50%
4 for · 4 against · 15 related
Beijing was the destination. Most passengers were Chinese. Jeff Wise’s published hijack telling sends the aircraft north toward Kazakhstan to cover Crimea. African debris and the southern 7th arc are a poor fit for a capture or shoot-down in the South China Sea.
China
Destination and the majority of souls
- Filed destination: Beijing Capital.
- 153 of 227 passengers were Chinese nationals.
- The first search opened in the South China Sea, along the filed route — the wrong ocean, on the SATCOM reading.
Russia
One passenger, and a published northern-hijack telling
- One Russian national is listed among the 227 passengers.
- That is a fact of the nationality summary. It is not a finding of state action.
- Jeff Wise’s 2015–2023 hijack hypothesis sends the aircraft north toward Kazakhstan during the Crimea annexation. It requires the BFO sign to be spoofed. African debris is against it.
Iran
Two travellers, stolen European passports
- Two passengers travelled on stolen Italian and Austrian passports. They were later identified as Iranian.
- The official investigation treated them as likely asylum seekers and did not adopt a terrorism or state finding.
Sources
- Forevi-stolen-passportsTwo stolen European passports
Yes — two Iranian men were on board. They travelled on stolen European passports (Italian and Austrian), not Iranian documents. The official investigation treated them as likely asylum seekers and did not adopt a terrorism finding.
- Forevt-scs-searchSurface search begins in the South China Sea
Ships and aircraft search the Gulf of Thailand / South China Sea along the filed route — the wrong ocean for several days.
- Forx-kl-aq-summit-2000Al-Qaeda meeting, Kuala Lumpur, January 2000
Hijackers later on the 9/11 flights attended an al-Qaeda meeting in Kuala Lumpur in January 2000. CIA tracked the meeting. Fourteen years later MH370 left the same city’s airport.
- Forclaim-wise-kazakhstanJeff Wise: northern hijack to Kazakhstan, BFO spoofed
2015 New York Magazine thesis, restated in Netflix episode 2 and in Finding MH370 “Landing MH370.” Keep BTO, discard or spoof BFO, fly borders, land on a long Central Asian runway. Requires the African debris field to be explained away.
- Againstevi-7th-arcThe 7th arc
BTO range ring at the last transmission. Official and Ocean Infinity boxes are arguments about a segment of this arc plus a stand-off. It is not a crash pin.
- Againstevi-flaperonRight flaperon — Réunion
First physical evidence. Internal part numbers traced through EADS CASA to 9M-MRO. A 777 flaperon does not drift from Kazakhstan or the South China Sea to Réunion.
- Againstclaim-southern-endThe aircraft ended in the southern Indian Ocean
Supported by SATCOM southern BFO, 7th-arc geometry, and serial-confirmed debris on western Indian Ocean coasts. Main wreckage still unfound.
- Againstdoc-csiro-driftCSIRO debris-drift studies
Oceanographic reverse-drift of the Réunion flaperon and other debris, used to weight 7th-arc latitudes. Field trials on a replica flaperon informed windage.
- Relatedloc-kliaKuala Lumpur International Airport
Runway 32R. Origin of MH370.
- Relatedper-najibNajib Razak
On 24 March 2014 announced that MH370 ended in the southern Indian Ocean with no survivors, based on Inmarsat’s then-new analysis.
- Relatedevt-najib-ioMalaysia announces the southern Indian Ocean track
Prime Minister Najib Razak states that new satellite data show MH370 flew for hours into the southern Indian Ocean. The search pivots.
- Relatedorg-jaccJoint Agency Coordination Centre
Stood up to run the multinational southern search after the SATCOM pivot.
- Relatedx-carlyle-freescaleCarlyle Group, Freescale, 9/11 money and MH370
Briefing video: Carlyle Group as a common name across 9/11-era finance, Freescale ownership, and the twenty Freescale employees on MH370. Bush and bin Laden family investment histories are named in the same film.
- Relatedq-why-delayWhy did SAR start in the wrong ocean for days?
Military primary radar and live SATCOM existed while the public search flew the South China Sea. Minister ~10:30 MYT; KL ARCC 22:30; Thai Surat Thani 18–19 March. GADSS is the policy answer; the night-of organisational failure is still a research subject.
- Relatedq-diego-garciaWhat can be documented at Diego Garcia on 7–8 March 2014?
HA08 North’s trunk failed in March 2014 about 189 km off Diego Garcia; UCT-2 was on the atoll doing near-shore HDAS anode work in 110 ft of water. Sensor, SIGINT, satellite-downlink and aircraft records for 7–8 March are still the question — not a finding.
- Relatedper-wiseJeff Wise
CNN-era MH370 analyst. Author of the 2015 northern-hijack / spoofed-BFO thesis. Host of Finding MH370. Treats the default pilot-suicide search as a failed prediction because the wreck is still unfound.
- Relatedthy-northernNorthern corridor
Early public maps showed a northern Inmarsat ring. BFO and later debris on western Indian Ocean coasts disfavour it.
- Relatedthy-geopoliticsInterstate politics — China, Russia, Iran
Destination Beijing, Chinese majority, Iranian stolen-passport travellers, one Russian national. Facts of who was on board. Not a finding of PLA, FSB, or IRGC action.
- Relatedfilm-netflix-disappearedMH370: The Plane That Disappeared
Louise Malkinson’s three-part series gives one episode to each of three tellings: the pilot, a Russian hijack (Jeff Wise), and a US intercept (Florence de Changy). Families and Malaysia Airlines crisis staff are interviewed. It is a survey of hypotheses, not a finding.
- Relatedevi-radar-latencyWest-track disclosure lag — ministerial 10:30, ARCC 22:30, Thai 9–10 days
Hishammuddin 1 May 2014: military radar playback ~08:30 MYT 8 March, Air Force ops ~09:00, minister informed ~10:30 of a possible turn-back; a military aircraft west at 10:54. KL ARCC was not informed by RMAF of the western last-known until 22:30 MYT — a roughly 12-hour operational gap. Thai Surat Thani radar disclosed 18–19 March.
- Relatedevt-csm-hackInvestigation networks spear-phished the day after MH370 vanished
Confirmed as CSM’s public account. On 9 March, officials at the Department of Civil Aviation, the National Security Council and Malaysia Airlines were sent malware disguised as a news article that the aircraft had been found. About thirty computers were infected. Outbound mail carrying confidential files, including meeting minutes and classified documents, some related to MH370, was traced to an IP in China. CSM shut the machines down and asked Chinese providers to block the traffic. Police and Interpol were involved. What exactly was stolen is still unpublished.
- Relatedboard-cyberTwo waves of MH370-themed cyberattacks
Working chart of two separate campaigns. Attack one: 9 March spear-phish of officials at the Department of Civil Aviation, National Security Council and Malaysia Airlines — CyberSecurity Malaysia’s public account, disclosed in August. Attack two: MyCERT alerts on 24 March and 18 April about MH370-themed backdoors and a fake investigation-transcript phish aimed more widely. Destination IP in China is not the same as a finding that Beijing ran the operation.
- Relatedclaim-hack-attributionA China IP is not a finding that Beijing ran the 9 March hack
CSM said exfiltrated mail went to an IP address in China. Headlines called it a Chinese hack. The agency did not publish a named operator. Compromised machines, third-party infrastructure and a false flag remain live. Not established, not ruled out.